Increments
Science, Philosophy, Epistemology, Mayhem
We found 8 episodes of Increments with the tag “probability”.

#53  Ask Us Anything II: Disagreements and Decisions
August 14th, 2023  1 hr 34 mins
askusanything, bayesianism, decisionmaking, disagreements, probability
Ask us anything? Ask us everything! Back at it again with AUA Part 2/N. We wax poetic and wane dramatic on disagreements, decisionmaking, EA, and probability

#46 (Bonus)  Arguing about probability (with Nick Anyos)
December 19th, 2022  1 hr 59 mins
bayesianism, effective altruism, longtermism, probability, statistics
Ben and Vaden make a guest appearance on Nick Anyos' podcast on criticisms of effective altruism. As usual, they end up arguing about probability for most of it.

#29  Some Scattered Thoughts on Superforecasting
August 16th, 2021  45 mins 20 secs
good judgement project, philip tetlock, politics, probability, superforecasting
We discuss Philip Tetlock's work on Superforecasting.

#25  Mathematical Explanation with Mark Colyvan
May 24th, 2021  2 hrs 7 mins
counterfactual, explanation, logic, philosophy of mathematics, probability, thought experiments
We're joined by professor Mark Colyvan to talk about the philosophy of mathematics, logic, and thought experiments.

#11  Debating Existential Risk
September 16th, 2020  1 hr 29 mins
bayesianism, existential risk, probability, progress, rationality

#8  Philosophy of Probability III: Conjectures and Refutations
July 28th, 2020  1 hr 10 mins
ben does a 180, conjectures and refutations, karl popper, probability

#6  Philosophy of Probability I: Introduction
July 1st, 2020  1 hr 17 mins
bayesianism, epistemology, frequency, induction, probability