Increments

#95 (C&R Chap 10, Part II) - A Problem-First View of Scientific Progress

November 29th, 2025  |  57 mins 59 secs

content, epistemology, philosophy of science, popper, probability, simplicity, verisimilitude

After unsuccessfully trying to resolve our dispute about Popper's theory of content, we're back for part II of Chapter 10 of the Conjectures and Refutations Series.

#85 (Reaction) - On Confidence and Evidence: Reacting to Brett Hall and Peter Boghossian (Part 1)

May 8th, 2025  |  1 hr 49 mins

belief, confidence, epistemology, falsification, reaction video

Reacting to a discussion about belief, confidence, and epistemology between Brett Hall and Peter Boghossian

#76 (Bonus) - Is P(doom) meaningful? Debating epistemology (w/ Liron Shapira)

November 8th, 2024  |  2 hrs 50 mins

ai, bayes, belief, epistemology, induction, popper, prediction

We were invited onto Liron Shapira's "Doom debates" to discuss Bayesian versus Popperian epistemology, AI doom, and superintelligence. Unsurprisingly, we got about one third of the way through the first subject ...

#74 - Disagreeing about Belief, Probability, and Truth (w/ David Deutsch)

October 1st, 2024  |  1 hr 32 mins

belief, certainty, epistemology, mathematics, probability, statistics, truth

We talk with David Deutsch about whether the concept of belief is a useful lens on human cognition, when probability and statistics are actually useful, and whether he disagrees with Karl Popper about the truth.

#62 (Bonus) - The Principle of Optimism (Vaden on the Theory of Anything Podcast)

January 31st, 2024  |  2 hrs 45 mins

constraints, epistemology, optimism, physics, progress

Listen to Vaden's dulcet tones on Bruce Nielson's Theory of Anything Podcast discussing the principle of optimism.

#54 - Ask Us Anything III: Emotional Epistemology

September 18th, 2023  |  1 hr 18 mins

ask-us-anything, emotions, epistemology, problem-solving, thinking, universality

The third of infinite installments in our ask us anything series. We touch on universality, emotions, epistemology, and whether all thinking is problem solving.

#51 - Truth, Moose, and Refrigerated Eggplant: Critiquing Chapman's Meta-Rationality

May 29th, 2023  |  1 hr 12 mins

chapman, epistemology, nebulosity, popper, rationality

We discuss David Chapman's work on nebulosity, the correspondence theory of truth, and how it relates to Karl Popper's epistemology.

#41 - Parenting, Epistemology, and EA (w/ Lulie Tanett)

June 20th, 2022  |  1 hr 18 mins

bayesianism, critical rationalism, effective altruism, epistemology, rationality

We're joined by the wonderful Lulie Tanett to talk about effective altruism, pulling spouses out of burning buildings, and why you should prefer critical rationalism to Bayesianism for your mom's sake.

#21 (C&R Series, Ch.1) - The Problem of Induction

March 23rd, 2021  |  53 mins 58 secs

epistemology, induction, natural law, philosophy of science, popper

#6 - Philosophy of Probability I: Introduction

July 1st, 2020  |  1 hr 17 mins

bayesianism, epistemology, frequency, induction, probability