Increments

#94 - Is AI Just a Tool? (w/ Scott Aaronson)

November 6th, 2025  |  1 hr 24 mins

ai, ai doom, computation, induction, quantum mechanics

Is there any reason to believe that AI's capabilities are fundamentally limited? Scott Aaronson comes on to scare us straight.

#77 (Bonus) - AI Doom Debate (w/ Liron Shapira)

November 19th, 2024  |  2 hrs 21 mins

ai, comedy, creativity, deep learning, existential risk, induction, knowledge, novelty, superintelligence

Part II of the great debate! Is AI about to kill everyone? Should you cash in on those vacation days now?

#76 (Bonus) - Is P(doom) meaningful? Debating epistemology (w/ Liron Shapira)

November 8th, 2024  |  2 hrs 50 mins

ai, bayes, belief, epistemology, induction, popper, prediction

We were invited onto Liron Shapira's "Doom debates" to discuss Bayesian versus Popperian epistemology, AI doom, and superintelligence. Unsurprisingly, we got about one third of the way through the first subject ...

#75 - The Problem of Induction, Relitigated (w/ Tamler Sommers)

October 23rd, 2024  |  1 hr 41 mins

belief, certainty, deduction, induction, justification, logic, popper

When Very Bad Wizards meets Very Culty Popperians. Famed philosopher, podcaster, and Kant-hater Tamler Sommers joins the boys for a spirited disagreement over Popper, and whether he solved the Problem of Induction.

#59 (C&R, Chap 8) - On the Status of Science and Metaphysics (Plus reflections on the Brett Hall blog exchange)

December 22nd, 2023  |  1 hr 26 mins

austrianism, conjectures-and-refutations, copernicus, induction, irrefutability, kant, metaphysics, prediction

Chapter 8 of conjectures and refutations! Back on the horse baby, talkin' bout Kant, induction, irrefutability, induction - all the good stuff. Oh, and also Vaden's failed blog exchange w/ Brett Hall

#21 (C&R Series, Ch.1) - The Problem of Induction

March 23rd, 2021  |  53 mins 58 secs

epistemology, induction, natural law, philosophy of science, popper

#6 - Philosophy of Probability I: Introduction

July 1st, 2020  |  1 hr 17 mins

bayesianism, epistemology, frequency, induction, probability