Increments

#76 (Bonus) - Is P(doom) meaningful? Debating epistemology (w/ Liron Shapira)

November 8th, 2024  |  2 hrs 50 mins

ai, bayes, belief, epistemology, induction, popper, prediction

We were invited onto Liron Shapira's "Doom debates" to discuss Bayesian versus Popperian epistemology, AI doom, and superintelligence. Unsurprisingly, we got about one third of the way through the first subject ...

#59 (C&R, Chap 8) - On the Status of Science and Metaphysics (Plus reflections on the Brett Hall blog exchange)

December 22nd, 2023  |  1 hr 26 mins

austrianism, conjectures-and-refutations, copernicus, induction, irrefutability, kant, metaphysics, prediction

Chapter 8 of conjectures and refutations! Back on the horse baby, talkin' bout Kant, induction, irrefutability, induction - all the good stuff. Oh, and also Vaden's failed blog exchange w/ Brett Hall

#14 (C&R Series, Ch.16) - Prediction, Prophecy, and Fascism

October 24th, 2020  |  1 hr 8 mins

communism, fascism, historicism, prediction, prophecy, social science