Increments

#87 - Gullibility, Belief, and Conformity (with Hugo Mercier)

June 20th, 2025  |  54 mins 13 secs

belief, communication, information, rationality, reason, trust

Hugo Mercier joins us to discuss his book "Not Born Yesterday" and his work on belief, gullibility, and how we change our minds.

#85 (Reaction) - On Confidence and Evidence: Reacting to Brett Hall and Peter Boghossian (Part 1)

May 8th, 2025  |  1 hr 49 mins

belief, confidence, epistemology, falsification, reaction video

Reacting to a discussion about belief, confidence, and epistemology between Brett Hall and Peter Boghossian

#76 (Bonus) - Is P(doom) meaningful? Debating epistemology (w/ Liron Shapira)

November 8th, 2024  |  2 hrs 50 mins

ai, bayes, belief, epistemology, induction, popper, prediction

We were invited onto Liron Shapira's "Doom debates" to discuss Bayesian versus Popperian epistemology, AI doom, and superintelligence. Unsurprisingly, we got about one third of the way through the first subject ...

#75 - The Problem of Induction, Relitigated (w/ Tamler Sommers)

October 23rd, 2024  |  1 hr 41 mins

belief, certainty, deduction, induction, justification, logic, popper

When Very Bad Wizards meets Very Culty Popperians. Famed philosopher, podcaster, and Kant-hater Tamler Sommers joins the boys for a spirited disagreement over Popper, and whether he solved the Problem of Induction.

#74 - Disagreeing about Belief, Probability, and Truth (w/ David Deutsch)

October 1st, 2024  |  1 hr 32 mins

belief, certainty, epistemology, mathematics, probability, statistics, truth

We talk with David Deutsch about whether the concept of belief is a useful lens on human cognition, when probability and statistics are actually useful, and whether he disagrees with Karl Popper about the truth.

#56 - Ask Us Anything IV: Certainty, Emergence, and Popperian Imperatives

November 1st, 2023  |  1 hr 21 mins

ask-us-anything, belief, certainty, confidence, emergence, moral imperatives

Perhaps you thought, in your infinite ignorance, that the release of the previous episode marked the end of the age of the AMA! But nay: the age of the AMA has just begun!

#2 - Consequentialism II: Strange Beliefs

May 21st, 2020  |  1 hr 29 mins

belief, consequentialism, future generations

#1 - Consequentialism I: Epistemic Modesty

May 21st, 2020  |  1 hr 7 mins

belief, decision making, epistemic modesty, morality, progress