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    <fireside:genDate>Thu, 30 Apr 2026 13:21:18 -0500</fireside:genDate>
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    <title>Increments - Episodes Tagged with “Reaction Video”</title>
    <link>https://www.incrementspodcast.com/tags/reaction%20video</link>
    <pubDate>Thu, 08 May 2025 20:00:00 -0700</pubDate>
    <description>Vaden Masrani, a senior research scientist in machine learning, and Ben Chugg, a PhD student in statistics, get into trouble arguing about everything except machine learning and statistics. Coherence is somewhere on the horizon. 
Bribes, suggestions, love-mail and hate-mail all welcome at incrementspodcast@gmail.com. 
</description>
    <language>en-us</language>
    <itunes:type>episodic</itunes:type>
    <itunes:subtitle>Science, Philosophy, Epistemology, Mayhem</itunes:subtitle>
    <itunes:author>Ben Chugg and Vaden Masrani</itunes:author>
    <itunes:summary>Vaden Masrani, a senior research scientist in machine learning, and Ben Chugg, a PhD student in statistics, get into trouble arguing about everything except machine learning and statistics. Coherence is somewhere on the horizon. 
Bribes, suggestions, love-mail and hate-mail all welcome at incrementspodcast@gmail.com. 
</itunes:summary>
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    <itunes:explicit>no</itunes:explicit>
    <itunes:keywords>Philosophy,Science,Ethics,Progress,Knowledge,Computer Science,Conversation,Error-Correction</itunes:keywords>
    <itunes:owner>
      <itunes:name>Ben Chugg and Vaden Masrani</itunes:name>
      <itunes:email>incrementspodcast@gmail.com</itunes:email>
    </itunes:owner>
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  <itunes:category text="Philosophy"/>
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<itunes:category text="Science"/>
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  <title>#85 (Reaction) - On Confidence and Evidence: Reacting to Brett Hall and Peter Boghossian (Part 1) </title>
  <link>https://www.incrementspodcast.com/85</link>
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  <pubDate>Thu, 08 May 2025 20:00:00 -0700</pubDate>
  <author>Ben Chugg and Vaden Masrani</author>
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  <itunes:episodeType>full</itunes:episodeType>
  <itunes:author>Ben Chugg and Vaden Masrani</itunes:author>
  <itunes:subtitle>Reacting to a discussion about belief, confidence, and epistemology between Brett Hall and Peter Boghossian</itunes:subtitle>
  <itunes:duration>1:49:48</itunes:duration>
  <itunes:explicit>no</itunes:explicit>
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  <description>We all knew that Vaden would release his inner Youtube debate bro at some point. Well he finally paid Ben enough to do it, and here we are: our first reaction video. Today we're commenting on the video What's the most rational way to know? (https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=vNQlmVJxySc&amp;amp;t=3614s&amp;amp;ab_channel=CordialCuriosity), a discussion between Brett Hall and Peter Boghossian on the relationship between confidence and evidence. Are we overly confident in our ability to make reaction videos? Evidently. 
Check out more from Brett Hall here (https://www.bretthall.org/) and Peter Boghossian here (https://peterboghossian.com/). 
We discuss
What is the relationship between confidence and evidence? 
The "formal apparatus of science" vs the "sociology" of science 
Eddington's famous experiment 
Why confidence and belief can't be mathematized (But why they are useful nonetheless)
Confidence as a function of falsifying experiments
Bayesianism vs critical rationalism  
References
Paper discussing how it took the wider scientific community over 40 years (after Eddington's experiment!) to become convinced in the truth of general relativity: The 1919 measurement of the deflection of light (https://arxiv.org/abs/1409.7812)
Eddington's original paper (https://w.astro.berkeley.edu/~kalas/labs/documents/dyson1920.pdf):
Vaden and Brett's blog exchange (https://vmasrani.github.io/blog/2023/predicting-human-behaviour/) 
Socials
Follow us on Twitter at @IncrementsPod, @BennyChugg, @VadenMasrani
Come join our discord server! DM us on twitter or send us an email to get a supersecret link
Become a patreon subscriber here (https://www.patreon.com/Increments). Or give us one-time cash donations to help cover our lack of cash donations here (https://ko-fi.com/increments).
Click dem like buttons on youtube (https://www.youtube.com/channel/UC_4wZzQyoW4s4ZuE4FY9DQQ)
Where were you last night, and why do you have condoms in your pocket? Tell us at incrementspodcast@gmail.com. 
</description>
  <itunes:keywords>epistemology, reaction video, confidence, belief, falsification</itunes:keywords>
  <content:encoded>
    <![CDATA[<p>We all knew that Vaden would release his inner Youtube debate bro at some point. Well he finally paid Ben enough to do it, and here we are: our first reaction video. Today we&#39;re commenting on the video <a href="https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=vNQlmVJxySc&t=3614s&ab_channel=CordialCuriosity" rel="nofollow">What&#39;s the most rational way to know?</a>, a discussion between Brett Hall and Peter Boghossian on the relationship between confidence and evidence. Are we overly confident in our ability to make reaction videos? Evidently. </p>

<p>Check out more from Brett Hall <a href="https://www.bretthall.org/" rel="nofollow">here</a> and Peter Boghossian <a href="https://peterboghossian.com/" rel="nofollow">here</a>. </p>

<h1>We discuss</h1>

<ul>
<li>What is the relationship between confidence and evidence? </li>
<li>The &quot;formal apparatus of science&quot; vs the &quot;sociology&quot; of science </li>
<li>Eddington&#39;s famous experiment </li>
<li>Why confidence and belief can&#39;t be mathematized (But why they are useful nonetheless)</li>
<li>Confidence as a function of falsifying experiments</li>
<li>Bayesianism vs critical rationalism<br></li>
</ul>

<h1>References</h1>

<ul>
<li>Paper discussing how it took the wider scientific community over 40 years (after Eddington&#39;s experiment!) to become convinced in the truth of general relativity: <a href="https://arxiv.org/abs/1409.7812" rel="nofollow">The 1919 measurement of the deflection of light</a></li>
<li><a href="https://w.astro.berkeley.edu/%7Ekalas/labs/documents/dyson1920.pdf" rel="nofollow">Eddington&#39;s original paper</a>:</li>
<li><a href="https://vmasrani.github.io/blog/2023/predicting-human-behaviour/" rel="nofollow">Vaden and Brett&#39;s blog exchange</a> </li>
</ul>

<h1>Socials</h1>

<ul>
<li>Follow us on Twitter at @IncrementsPod, @BennyChugg, @VadenMasrani</li>
<li>Come join our discord server! DM us on twitter or send us an email to get a supersecret link</li>
<li>Become a patreon subscriber <a href="https://www.patreon.com/Increments" rel="nofollow">here</a>. Or give us one-time cash donations to help cover our lack of cash donations <a href="https://ko-fi.com/increments" rel="nofollow">here</a>.</li>
<li>Click dem like buttons on <a href="https://www.youtube.com/channel/UC_4wZzQyoW4s4ZuE4FY9DQQ" rel="nofollow">youtube</a></li>
</ul>

<p>Where were you last night, and why do you have condoms in your pocket? Tell us at <a href="mailto:incrementspodcast@gmail.com" rel="nofollow">incrementspodcast@gmail.com</a>. </p><p><a rel="payment" href="https://www.patreon.com/Increments">Support Increments</a></p>]]>
  </content:encoded>
  <itunes:summary>
    <![CDATA[<p>We all knew that Vaden would release his inner Youtube debate bro at some point. Well he finally paid Ben enough to do it, and here we are: our first reaction video. Today we&#39;re commenting on the video <a href="https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=vNQlmVJxySc&t=3614s&ab_channel=CordialCuriosity" rel="nofollow">What&#39;s the most rational way to know?</a>, a discussion between Brett Hall and Peter Boghossian on the relationship between confidence and evidence. Are we overly confident in our ability to make reaction videos? Evidently. </p>

<p>Check out more from Brett Hall <a href="https://www.bretthall.org/" rel="nofollow">here</a> and Peter Boghossian <a href="https://peterboghossian.com/" rel="nofollow">here</a>. </p>

<h1>We discuss</h1>

<ul>
<li>What is the relationship between confidence and evidence? </li>
<li>The &quot;formal apparatus of science&quot; vs the &quot;sociology&quot; of science </li>
<li>Eddington&#39;s famous experiment </li>
<li>Why confidence and belief can&#39;t be mathematized (But why they are useful nonetheless)</li>
<li>Confidence as a function of falsifying experiments</li>
<li>Bayesianism vs critical rationalism<br></li>
</ul>

<h1>References</h1>

<ul>
<li>Paper discussing how it took the wider scientific community over 40 years (after Eddington&#39;s experiment!) to become convinced in the truth of general relativity: <a href="https://arxiv.org/abs/1409.7812" rel="nofollow">The 1919 measurement of the deflection of light</a></li>
<li><a href="https://w.astro.berkeley.edu/%7Ekalas/labs/documents/dyson1920.pdf" rel="nofollow">Eddington&#39;s original paper</a>:</li>
<li><a href="https://vmasrani.github.io/blog/2023/predicting-human-behaviour/" rel="nofollow">Vaden and Brett&#39;s blog exchange</a> </li>
</ul>

<h1>Socials</h1>

<ul>
<li>Follow us on Twitter at @IncrementsPod, @BennyChugg, @VadenMasrani</li>
<li>Come join our discord server! DM us on twitter or send us an email to get a supersecret link</li>
<li>Become a patreon subscriber <a href="https://www.patreon.com/Increments" rel="nofollow">here</a>. Or give us one-time cash donations to help cover our lack of cash donations <a href="https://ko-fi.com/increments" rel="nofollow">here</a>.</li>
<li>Click dem like buttons on <a href="https://www.youtube.com/channel/UC_4wZzQyoW4s4ZuE4FY9DQQ" rel="nofollow">youtube</a></li>
</ul>

<p>Where were you last night, and why do you have condoms in your pocket? Tell us at <a href="mailto:incrementspodcast@gmail.com" rel="nofollow">incrementspodcast@gmail.com</a>. </p><p><a rel="payment" href="https://www.patreon.com/Increments">Support Increments</a></p>]]>
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