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    <fireside:genDate>Tue, 05 May 2026 13:12:14 -0500</fireside:genDate>
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    <title>Increments - Episodes Tagged with “Q&amp;A”</title>
    <link>https://www.incrementspodcast.com/tags/q&amp;a</link>
    <pubDate>Mon, 01 Feb 2021 20:00:00 -0800</pubDate>
    <description>Vaden Masrani, a senior research scientist in machine learning, and Ben Chugg, a PhD student in statistics, get into trouble arguing about everything except machine learning and statistics. Coherence is somewhere on the horizon. 
Bribes, suggestions, love-mail and hate-mail all welcome at incrementspodcast@gmail.com. 
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    <itunes:type>episodic</itunes:type>
    <itunes:subtitle>Science, Philosophy, Epistemology, Mayhem</itunes:subtitle>
    <itunes:author>Ben Chugg and Vaden Masrani</itunes:author>
    <itunes:summary>Vaden Masrani, a senior research scientist in machine learning, and Ben Chugg, a PhD student in statistics, get into trouble arguing about everything except machine learning and statistics. Coherence is somewhere on the horizon. 
Bribes, suggestions, love-mail and hate-mail all welcome at incrementspodcast@gmail.com. 
</itunes:summary>
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    <itunes:keywords>Philosophy,Science,Ethics,Progress,Knowledge,Computer Science,Conversation,Error-Correction</itunes:keywords>
    <itunes:owner>
      <itunes:name>Ben Chugg and Vaden Masrani</itunes:name>
      <itunes:email>incrementspodcast@gmail.com</itunes:email>
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  <title>#19 - Against Longtermism FAQ</title>
  <link>https://www.incrementspodcast.com/19</link>
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  <pubDate>Mon, 01 Feb 2021 20:00:00 -0800</pubDate>
  <author>Ben Chugg and Vaden Masrani</author>
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  <itunes:episodeType>full</itunes:episodeType>
  <itunes:author>Ben Chugg and Vaden Masrani</itunes:author>
  <itunes:subtitle></itunes:subtitle>
  <itunes:duration>1:30:44</itunes:duration>
  <itunes:explicit>no</itunes:explicit>
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  <description>&lt;p&gt;Back in the ring for round two on longtermism! We (Ben somewhat drunkenly) respond to some of the criticism of episode #17 and our two essays (&lt;a href="https://forum.effectivealtruism.org/posts/2NJszbnBTwibfdpo7/strong-longtermism-irrefutability-and-moral-progress" target="_blank" rel="nofollow noopener"&gt;Ben's&lt;/a&gt;, &lt;a href="https://vmasrani.github.io/blog/2020/against_longtermism/" target="_blank" rel="nofollow noopener"&gt;Vaden's&lt;/a&gt;) We touch on: &lt;/p&gt;&lt;ul&gt;
&lt;li&gt;Ben's hate mail from his &lt;a href="https://medium.com/conjecture-magazine/the-dangers-of-cliodynamics-c48392b4a985" target="_blank" rel="nofollow noopener"&gt;piece on cliodynamics&lt;/a&gt;
&lt;/li&gt;
&lt;li&gt;Longtermism as implying altruistic portfolio shuffling&lt;/li&gt;
&lt;li&gt;What on earth is Bayesian epistemology &lt;/li&gt;
&lt;li&gt;&lt;a href="http://colyvan.com/papers/pasadena.pdf" target="_blank" rel="nofollow noopener"&gt;The Pasadena game&lt;/a&gt;&lt;/li&gt;
&lt;li&gt;Authoritarianism and the danger of seeking perfection &lt;/li&gt;
&lt;li&gt;Arrow's theorem&lt;/li&gt;
&lt;li&gt;Alternative decision theories focusing on error correction &lt;/li&gt;
&lt;li&gt;What's the probability of nuclear war before 2100?&lt;/li&gt;
&lt;li&gt;When are models reliable &lt;/li&gt;
&lt;li&gt;What problems to work on &lt;/li&gt;
&lt;/ul&gt;&lt;p&gt;You will, dear listener, be either pleased or horrified to learn that this will not be our last foray into longtermism. It's like choose your own adventure ... except we're choosing the adventure, and the adventure is longtermism. Next stop is the &lt;a href="https://hearthisidea.com/" target="_blank" rel="nofollow noopener"&gt;Hear this Idea podcast&lt;/a&gt;!&lt;br&gt;&lt;br&gt;Send us best longterm prediction at incrementspodcast@gmail.com&lt;/p&gt; 
</description>
  <itunes:keywords>longtermism</itunes:keywords>
  <content:encoded>
    <![CDATA[<p>Back in the ring for round two on longtermism! We (Ben somewhat drunkenly) respond to some of the criticism of episode #17 and our two essays (<a href='https://forum.effectivealtruism.org/posts/2NJszbnBTwibfdpo7/strong-longtermism-irrefutability-and-moral-progress'>Ben&apos;s</a>, <a href='https://vmasrani.github.io/blog/2020/against_longtermism/'>Vaden&apos;s</a>) We touch on: </p><ul><li>Ben&apos;s hate mail from his <a href='https://medium.com/conjecture-magazine/the-dangers-of-cliodynamics-c48392b4a985'>piece on cliodynamics</a></li><li>Longtermism as implying altruistic portfolio shuffling</li><li>What on earth is Bayesian epistemology </li><li><a href='http://colyvan.com/papers/pasadena.pdf'>The Pasadena game</a></li><li>Authoritarianism and the danger of seeking perfection </li><li>Arrow&apos;s theorem</li><li>Alternative decision theories focusing on error correction </li><li>What&apos;s the probability of nuclear war before 2100?</li><li>When are models reliable </li><li>What problems to work on </li></ul><p>You will, dear listener, be either pleased or horrified to learn that this will not be our last foray into longtermism. It&apos;s like choose your own adventure ... except we&apos;re choosing the adventure, and the adventure is longtermism. Next stop is the <a href='https://hearthisidea.com/'>Hear this Idea podcast</a>!<br/><br/>Send us best longterm prediction at incrementspodcast@gmail.com</p><p><a rel="payment" href="https://www.patreon.com/Increments">Support Increments</a></p>]]>
  </content:encoded>
  <itunes:summary>
    <![CDATA[<p>Back in the ring for round two on longtermism! We (Ben somewhat drunkenly) respond to some of the criticism of episode #17 and our two essays (<a href='https://forum.effectivealtruism.org/posts/2NJszbnBTwibfdpo7/strong-longtermism-irrefutability-and-moral-progress'>Ben&apos;s</a>, <a href='https://vmasrani.github.io/blog/2020/against_longtermism/'>Vaden&apos;s</a>) We touch on: </p><ul><li>Ben&apos;s hate mail from his <a href='https://medium.com/conjecture-magazine/the-dangers-of-cliodynamics-c48392b4a985'>piece on cliodynamics</a></li><li>Longtermism as implying altruistic portfolio shuffling</li><li>What on earth is Bayesian epistemology </li><li><a href='http://colyvan.com/papers/pasadena.pdf'>The Pasadena game</a></li><li>Authoritarianism and the danger of seeking perfection </li><li>Arrow&apos;s theorem</li><li>Alternative decision theories focusing on error correction </li><li>What&apos;s the probability of nuclear war before 2100?</li><li>When are models reliable </li><li>What problems to work on </li></ul><p>You will, dear listener, be either pleased or horrified to learn that this will not be our last foray into longtermism. It&apos;s like choose your own adventure ... except we&apos;re choosing the adventure, and the adventure is longtermism. Next stop is the <a href='https://hearthisidea.com/'>Hear this Idea podcast</a>!<br/><br/>Send us best longterm prediction at incrementspodcast@gmail.com</p><p><a rel="payment" href="https://www.patreon.com/Increments">Support Increments</a></p>]]>
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