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    <title>Increments - Episodes Tagged with “Debate”</title>
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    <pubDate>Mon, 08 Mar 2021 10:00:00 -0800</pubDate>
    <description>Vaden Masrani, a senior research scientist in machine learning, and Ben Chugg, a PhD student in statistics, get into trouble arguing about everything except machine learning and statistics. Coherence is somewhere on the horizon. Bribes, suggestions, love-mail and hate-mail all welcome at incrementspodcast@gmail.com.</description>
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    <itunes:subtitle>Science, Philosophy, Epistemology, Mayhem</itunes:subtitle>
    <itunes:author>Ben Chugg and Vaden Masrani</itunes:author>
    <itunes:summary>Vaden Masrani, a senior research scientist in machine learning, and Ben Chugg, a PhD student in statistics, get into trouble arguing about everything except machine learning and statistics. Coherence is somewhere on the horizon. Bribes, suggestions, love-mail and hate-mail all welcome at incrementspodcast@gmail.com.</itunes:summary>
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    <itunes:keywords>Philosophy,Science,Ethics,Progress,Knowledge,Computer Science,Conversation,Error-Correction</itunes:keywords>
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      <itunes:name>Ben Chugg and Vaden Masrani</itunes:name>
      <itunes:email>incrementspodcast@gmail.com</itunes:email>
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  <title>#20 (HTI crossover episode) - Roundtable Longtermism Discussion</title>
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  <pubDate>Mon, 08 Mar 2021 10:00:00 -0800</pubDate>
  <author>Ben Chugg and Vaden Masrani</author>
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  <itunes:author>Ben Chugg and Vaden Masrani</itunes:author>
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  <itunes:duration>3:14:44</itunes:duration>
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  <description>&lt;p&gt;Hello and sorry for the delay! We finally got together with Fin and Luca from the excellent &lt;a href="https://hearthisidea.com/" rel="nofollow noopener"&gt;HearThisIdea&lt;/a&gt; podcast for a nice roundtable discussion on longtermism. We laughed, we cried, we tried our best to communicate across the divide.&amp;nbsp; &lt;br&gt;&lt;br&gt;Material referenced in the discussion:&lt;br&gt;&lt;br&gt;- &lt;a href="https://80000hours.org/problem-profiles/" rel="nofollow noopener"&gt;80k Hours Problem Profiles&lt;/a&gt;&lt;br&gt;- &lt;a href="https://web.archive.org/web/20191023155157/https://foundational-research.org/s-risks-talk-eag-boston-2017/" rel="nofollow noopener"&gt;Jon Hamm&amp;nbsp; imprisons us in an Alexa&lt;/a&gt;&lt;br&gt;- &lt;a href="https://globalprioritiesinstitute.org/wp-content/uploads/Hilary-Greaves-and-William-MacAskill_strong-longtermism.pdf" rel="nofollow noopener"&gt;The Case for Strong Longtermism&lt;/a&gt;&lt;br&gt;- &lt;a href="https://vmasrani.github.io/blog/2020/against_longtermism/" rel="nofollow noopener"&gt;A Case Against Strong Longtermism&lt;/a&gt;&lt;br&gt;- &lt;a href="https://nickbostrom.com/existential/risks.html" rel="nofollow noopener"&gt;Nick Bostrom's seminal paper on existential risks&lt;/a&gt;&lt;br&gt;&lt;br&gt;Quote:&amp;nbsp; "[Events like Chernobyl, Bhopal, volcano eruptions, earthquakes, draughts, World War I, World War II, epidemics of influenza, smallpox, black plague, and AIDS. ] have occurred many times and our cultural attitudes towards risk have been shaped by trial-and-error in managing such hazards. But tragic as such events are to the people immediately affected, in the big picture of things – from the perspective of humankind as a whole – &lt;em&gt;even the worst of these catastrophes are mere ripples on the surface of the great sea of life.&lt;/em&gt;&amp;nbsp; (italics added)"&lt;br&gt;&lt;br&gt;- Nick Bostrom's "&lt;a href="https://www.nickbostrom.com/papers/survey.pdf" rel="nofollow noopener"&gt;A survey of expert opinion&lt;/a&gt;" (errata: Vaden incorrectly said this paper was coauthored by Nick Bostrom and Toby Ord. It's actually authored by Vincent C. Müller and Nick Bostrom - Toby Ord and Anders Sandberg are acknowledged on page 15 for having helped design the questionnaire.)&amp;nbsp;&lt;br&gt;&lt;br&gt;Send us a survey of expert credences over at &lt;a href="mailto:incrementspodcast@gmail.com" rel="nofollow noopener"&gt;incrementspodcast@gmail.com&lt;/a&gt;&lt;/p&gt; Special Guests: Fin Moorhouse and Luca Righetti.
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  <itunes:keywords>debate, longtermism, effective altruism</itunes:keywords>
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    <![CDATA[<p>Hello and sorry for the delay! We finally got together with Fin and Luca from the excellent <a href="https://hearthisidea.com/" rel="nofollow noopener">HearThisIdea</a> podcast for a nice roundtable discussion on longtermism. We laughed, we cried, we tried our best to communicate across the divide.&nbsp; <br><br>Material referenced in the discussion:<br><br>- <a href="https://80000hours.org/problem-profiles/" rel="nofollow noopener">80k Hours Problem Profiles</a><br>- <a href="https://web.archive.org/web/20191023155157/https://foundational-research.org/s-risks-talk-eag-boston-2017/" rel="nofollow noopener">Jon Hamm&nbsp; imprisons us in an Alexa</a><br>- <a href="https://globalprioritiesinstitute.org/wp-content/uploads/Hilary-Greaves-and-William-MacAskill_strong-longtermism.pdf" rel="nofollow noopener">The Case for Strong Longtermism</a><br>- <a href="https://vmasrani.github.io/blog/2020/against_longtermism/" rel="nofollow noopener">A Case Against Strong Longtermism</a><br>- <a href="https://nickbostrom.com/existential/risks.html" rel="nofollow noopener">Nick Bostrom's seminal paper on existential risks</a><br><br>Quote:&nbsp; "[Events like Chernobyl, Bhopal, volcano eruptions, earthquakes, draughts, World War I, World War II, epidemics of influenza, smallpox, black plague, and AIDS. ] have occurred many times and our cultural attitudes towards risk have been shaped by trial-and-error in managing such hazards. But tragic as such events are to the people immediately affected, in the big picture of things – from the perspective of humankind as a whole – <em>even the worst of these catastrophes are mere ripples on the surface of the great sea of life.</em>&nbsp; (italics added)"<br><br>- Nick Bostrom's "<a href="https://www.nickbostrom.com/papers/survey.pdf" rel="nofollow noopener">A survey of expert opinion</a>" (errata: Vaden incorrectly said this paper was coauthored by Nick Bostrom and Toby Ord. It's actually authored by Vincent C. Müller and Nick Bostrom - Toby Ord and Anders Sandberg are acknowledged on page 15 for having helped design the questionnaire.)&nbsp;<br><br>Send us a survey of expert credences over at incrementspodcast@gmail.com</p><p>Special Guests: Fin Moorhouse and Luca Righetti.</p><p><a rel="payment" href="https://www.patreon.com/Increments">Support Increments</a></p>]]>
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  <itunes:summary>
    <![CDATA[<p>Hello and sorry for the delay! We finally got together with Fin and Luca from the excellent <a href="https://hearthisidea.com/" rel="nofollow noopener">HearThisIdea</a> podcast for a nice roundtable discussion on longtermism. We laughed, we cried, we tried our best to communicate across the divide.&nbsp; <br><br>Material referenced in the discussion:<br><br>- <a href="https://80000hours.org/problem-profiles/" rel="nofollow noopener">80k Hours Problem Profiles</a><br>- <a href="https://web.archive.org/web/20191023155157/https://foundational-research.org/s-risks-talk-eag-boston-2017/" rel="nofollow noopener">Jon Hamm&nbsp; imprisons us in an Alexa</a><br>- <a href="https://globalprioritiesinstitute.org/wp-content/uploads/Hilary-Greaves-and-William-MacAskill_strong-longtermism.pdf" rel="nofollow noopener">The Case for Strong Longtermism</a><br>- <a href="https://vmasrani.github.io/blog/2020/against_longtermism/" rel="nofollow noopener">A Case Against Strong Longtermism</a><br>- <a href="https://nickbostrom.com/existential/risks.html" rel="nofollow noopener">Nick Bostrom's seminal paper on existential risks</a><br><br>Quote:&nbsp; "[Events like Chernobyl, Bhopal, volcano eruptions, earthquakes, draughts, World War I, World War II, epidemics of influenza, smallpox, black plague, and AIDS. ] have occurred many times and our cultural attitudes towards risk have been shaped by trial-and-error in managing such hazards. But tragic as such events are to the people immediately affected, in the big picture of things – from the perspective of humankind as a whole – <em>even the worst of these catastrophes are mere ripples on the surface of the great sea of life.</em>&nbsp; (italics added)"<br><br>- Nick Bostrom's "<a href="https://www.nickbostrom.com/papers/survey.pdf" rel="nofollow noopener">A survey of expert opinion</a>" (errata: Vaden incorrectly said this paper was coauthored by Nick Bostrom and Toby Ord. It's actually authored by Vincent C. Müller and Nick Bostrom - Toby Ord and Anders Sandberg are acknowledged on page 15 for having helped design the questionnaire.)&nbsp;<br><br>Send us a survey of expert credences over at incrementspodcast@gmail.com</p><p>Special Guests: Fin Moorhouse and Luca Righetti.</p><p><a rel="payment" href="https://www.patreon.com/Increments">Support Increments</a></p>]]>
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